Biden’s struggles with base continue: The Note

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The TAKE with Rick Klein

Where does a president go to reclaim his base?

Among the most striking findings of the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll is the extent to which Democrats — not just Republicans and independents — are wary of President Joe Biden’s handling of major issues.

Trendlines tell a potentially crucial story. The strength of Biden’s support within his own party has dropped significantly due to his handling of COVID-19 (82% in the new poll, down from 93% last July), economic recovery (73%, down from 88 %) and armed violence (55%, against 64%).

Given the GOP’s near total opposition to Biden across the board, as well as a significant slide among independents, Biden’s big challenge is and will continue to be convincing many who voted for him that his leadership is on the right track.

As for what comes next, the poll also points to a potential problem in hopes that a Supreme Court nomination will unite Democrats. Among Democrats, 54% say they would rather Biden consider all possible candidates than just black women; 76% of Americans overall think Biden should seek a candidate more broadly.

Much of what Biden and his party were able to achieve last year was built around a relatively popular president trying to do relatively popular things. It’s quite different now – and losing the influence of your own constituents is a particularly difficult problem to solve.

The RUNDOWN with Averi Harper

Biden’s impending SCOTUS pick has not been named, but conservatives have previously hinted that she is a “beneficiary” of affirmative action and could be the pick of the “radical left.”

The onslaught of right-wing critics is fueled by Biden’s confirmation that he intends to deliver on his campaign promise to appoint a black woman to replace Justice Stephen Breyer on the nation’s highest court.

“The irony is that the Supreme Court is simultaneously hearing cases about this type of affirmative racial discrimination while adding someone who benefits from this type of quota,” said Sen. Roger Wicker, R-Miss. conservative radio show on Friday. “We’re going to go from a nice, stately left-liberal to someone who’s probably more in the style of Sonia Sotomayor.”

It is important to note, again, that Biden made no choice and that Wicker’s assumptions, which many consider offensive, are based solely on the notion that Biden’s choice is a black woman.

On ABC’s This Week, Senator Susan Collins, R-Maine, indicated she was ready to support a black woman, but criticized Biden’s announcement. She said her public statement added to the perception that the court is a political institution.

“I believe diversity benefits the Supreme Court,” Collins told “This Week” anchor George Stephanopoulos. “But the president’s handling of this appointment has been clumsy at best.”

The COUNCIL with Alisa Wiersema

While it’s unclear whether former President Donald Trump will pursue his bid for a second term, he is already planning to implement a potentially troubling policy if elected.

“If I run and if I win, we will treat these people fairly from January 6. We will treat them fairly. And if it requires pardons, we will grant them pardons because they are being treated so unfairly,” a- he told his supporters on Saturday. .

The president’s comments came at a rally in the GOP-leaning suburb of Houston. According to George Washington University’s Extremism Program, at least 63 of the Jan. 6 rioters charged with a crime were from Texas.

As ABC News reported earlier this year, more than 700 people have been charged with serious crimes related to the insurgency. The scope of the charges includes offenses such as assaulting, resisting or obstructing officers and, in some cases, using a deadly or dangerous weapon or causing grievous bodily harm to an officer. . Beyond that, at least 40 people have been charged with conspiracy, and others have been charged with obstructing, influencing or corruptly obstructing official process, among other crimes.

The implication of political support for the insurgents is sure to add a deep wrinkle to the way Republicans running for office in 2022 align themselves with the former president, both in Texas and across the country. The comments could also cast a shadow over Trump’s hypothetical re-election – at least one top Republican, Senator Susan Collins, said on Sunday she was “highly unlikely” to back Trump in 2024 if he does. presented.

NUMBER OF THE DAY, powered by FiveThirtyEight

45%. That’s the number of Republicans who said they approved of the Supreme Court in a September 2021 Gallup poll that found public approval for the tribunal was at an all-time low. As Democrats move in the coming months to nominate Justice Stephen Breyer’s replacement on the court, we’ll be watching closely where the court’s public opinion stands, including how motivating that is. for the base Democrats or Republicans in the upcoming 2022 midterm elections. Learn more on FiveThirtyEight about what Biden’s Supreme Court nominee means for Democrats and the 2022 mid-terms.

THE PLAYLIST

ABC News’ “Start Here” podcast. “Start Here” begins Monday morning by covering COVID-19 treatments, including a promising now-rare antiviral pill, with ABC’s Anne Flaherty. Next, ABC’s Zachary Kiesch reports on the debate over bail reform amid a rise in violent crime. And, a podcast reviewer breaks down what’s causing the vaccine misinformation drama on Spotify. http://apple.co/2HPocUL

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY

  • President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris welcome the National Governors Association to the White House for an 11 a.m. meeting. Next, Biden participates in a bilateral meeting with His Highness Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al-Thani, Emir of Qatar at 2 p.m.
  • Press secretary Jen Psaki holds a press briefing at 1 p.m.
  • First Lady Jill Biden and Second Gentleman Douglas Emhoff greet National Governors Association spouses at the John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts at 9:45 a.m.
  • Download the ABC News app and select “The Rating” as an item of interest to receive the most cutting-edge political analysis of the day.

    The Note is a daily feature of ABC News that highlights the top political stories of the day. Please check back on Tuesday for the latest information.



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